Central America Agribusiness Quarterly Report-- Q1 2014

Jan. 21 2014 Pages: 0 Language: English Price: Inquire

Favorites Comment

Forward

: Hi There! Follow

With years of experience of global agrochemical industry rep...

Summary
Table of contents

The region is still struggling with disease outbreaks in the coffee sector in 2013/14. We believe the region will continue to suffer as low global coffee prices limit investment potential. Central America is generally dependent on imports for corn, and we expect the production deficit to widen over our forecast period. That said, Central America is expected to remain self-sufficient in sugar and even increase its potential for sugar exports. The sugar industry has potential to attract investment over the medium term.

Coffee production growth to 2016/17: 24.1% to 13.8mn bags. We believe the coffee sector will continue to battle with disease and weather problems, while low global prices will limit investment in the crop, at least in the coming years. We see more potential for the sector in the long term.

Please contact us for other country/regions you interest in

terry@agropages.com

Agribusiness Quarterly Report--Global Countries Package-Q1

Industry View 7

SWOT 9

Agribusiness 9

Industry Forecast 11

Livestock Outlook 11
Table: Guatemala Poultry Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 12
Table: Central America Pork Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 13
Table: Central America Beef Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 13
Table: Guatemala Poultry Production & Consumption, 2007-2012 15
Table: Central America Pork Production & Consumption, 2007-2012 15
Table: Central America Beef Production & Consumption, 2007-2012 16

Grains Outlook 17
Table: Central America Corn Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 18
Table: Central America Corn Production & Consumption, 2007-2012 20

Coffee Outlook 21
Table: Central America - Coffee Production & Consumption ('000 bags) 23
Table: Central America - Coffee Production & Consumption ('000 bags) 27

Sugar Outlook 28
Table: Central America - Sugar Production & Consumption, 2012-2017 28
Table: Obesity Rates By Country
Table: Central America - Sugar Production & Consumption ('000 tonnes) 32

Commodities Price Analysis 34

Monthly Softs Update 34
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts 43
Table: Bmi Commodities Strategy 44

Monthly Grains Update 44
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts 53
Table: BMI Commodities Strategy 54

Upstream Analysis 55

Americas GM Outlook 55

Americas Machinery Outlook 59

Americas Fertiliser Outlook 65

Downstream Analysis 71

Food 71

Food Consumption 71
Table: Guatemala - Food Consumption Indicators, 2010-2017 72
Table: Costa Rica - Food Consumption Indicators, 2010-2017 72
Table: El Salvador - Food Consumption Indicators, 2010-2017 73
Table: Honduras - Food Consumption Indicators, 2010-2017 73

Confectionery 73
Table: El Salvador - Confectionery Value

Meat 76
Table: El Salvador - Meat Volume Sales, Production & Trade, 2010-2017 76

Jams & Jellies 78
Table: El Salvador - Jams & Jellies Volume Sales, Production & Trade, 2010-2017 78

Pasta 78
Table: El Salvador - Pasta Volume Sales, Production & Trade, 2010-2017 78

Prepared Fish 79
Table: El Salvador - Fish Volume Sales, Production & Trade, 2010-2017 79
Table: Costa Rica - Fish Volume Sales, Production & Trade, 2010-2017 81

Oils & Fats 82
Table: Costa Rica - Soya Bean Oil Volume Sales, Production & Trade, 2010-2017 82
Table: Guatemala - Soya Bean Oil Volume Sales, Production & Trade, 2010-2017 83
Table: El Salvador - Margarine Volume Sales, Production & Trade, 2010-2017 84

Dairy 85
Table: El Salvador - Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade, 2010-2017 86

Drink 88

Hot Drinks 88
Table: Guatemala Coffee Sales, 2010-2017 89
Table: Costa Rica Coffee Sales, 2010-2017 89
Table: El Salvador Coffee Sales, 2010-2017 89
Table: Honduras Coffee Sales, 2010-2017 89

Alcoholic Drinks 90
Table: Guatemala Alcoholic Drink Sales, 2010-2017 90
Table: Costa Rica Alcoholic Drink Sales, 2010-2017 91
Table: El Salvador Alcoholic Drink Sales, 2010-2017 91
Table: Honduras Alcohol Sales, 2010-2017 91

Soft Drinks 92
Table: Guatemala Soft Drink Sales, 2010-2017 93
Table: Costa Rica Soft Drink Sales, 2010-2017 93
Table: El Salvador Soft Drink Sales, 2010-2017 94
Table: Honduras Soft Drink Sales, 2010-2017 94

Mass Grocery Retail 95
Table: Regional Sales Breakdown By Retail Format, %, 2012-2022 96
Table: Guatemala Mass Grocery Retail Sales, 2010-2017 96
Table: Costa Rica Mass Grocery Retail Sales, 2010-2017 96
Table: El Salvador Mass Grocery Retail Sales, 2010-2017 97
Table: Honduras Mass Grocery Retail Sales, 2010-2017 97

Regional Overview 99

Demographic Forecast 106

Belize 106
Table: Belize's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 107
Table: Belize's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 109
Table: Belize's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 109
Table: Belize's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 110

Costa Rica 110
Table: Costa Rica's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 112
Table: Costa Rica's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 112
Table: Costa Rica's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 113
Table: Costa Rica's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 114

El Salvador 114
Table: El Salvador's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 116
Table: El Salvador's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 116
Table: El Salvador's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 117
Table: El Salvador's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 118

Guatemala 119
Table: Guatemala's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 120
Table: Guatemala's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 121
Table: Guatemala's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 122
Table: Guatemala's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 122

Honduras 123
Table: Honduras' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 124
Table: Honduras' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 125
Table: Honduras' Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 126
Table: Honduras' Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 126

Nicaragua 126
Table: Nicaragua's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 128
Table: Nicaragua's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 130
Table: Nicaragua's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 131
Table: Nicaragua's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 131

Panama 131
Table: Panama's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 133
Table: Panama's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 134
Table: Panama's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 134
Table: Panama's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 135

Methodology 136

Industry Forecast Methodology 136

Sector-Specific Methodology 137